Okay ... so crabs that have shells that look like a warrior are more likely to survive. But they're still crabs! Shouldn't they be something different by now?
Dr. Sagan says that viruses have about 10,000 bits of information, bacteria have about 1 million bits, and humans have about 5 billion bits. If the guesses on evolution and the earth's age are right, then it took about 2 billion years to get from bacteria to humans.
Evolution is not a linear process, but an exponential one. Take the first bit of evolutionary information as happening in Year 0. So, using the three points (0, 1), (2 billion, 1 million), and (4 billion, 5 billion) and an equation of the form y = e^(bx), a curve that fits well in our era has b ~ 5.58 E-9.
The warrior battle was about 1,000 years ago, or x = 3,999,999,000 years after the first bit came into bit-existence. Y = e^(bx) ~ 4,999,972,000. Subtract that from ~ 5 billion human bits and you get about 28,000 predicted bit changes in crabs - and all species, if evolution is still going on - between the Japanese warrior battles and today, or changes about 3x more than in an average virus. Such a change is easily detectable and find-able.
Yet the crabs are still ... well ... crabs, and not super-virus-crabs or whatever. Same with everything else. Flies that develop an immunity to poison are still flies and not super-virus-flies (or whatever).
Why are the crabs still crabs? Natural selection exists, but there's been no crab-evolution - no crab-advance to something higher or even crab-change. Sure, my base might be off, but e is a very low base, about 2.7, and real evolutionary velocity could easily have something much greater - 4 or 10 or 2,000 - which would only make the non-advance harder to explain.